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weird NFL scoreS

As seen on FiveThirtyEight  ESPN Chalk  ESPN Chalk  ESPN Radio  Nylon Calculus  Raiders.com  Lineups.com  The Cauldron - Quoted in The New York Times  ESPN Chalk  ESPN Chalk  FiveThirtyEight - Shared by The New York Times  The Washington Post  ESPN Chalk  FiveThirtyEight  Football Outsiders  Football Outsiders  Football Outsiders  SB Nation  SB Nation  Football Perspective  Pregame.com

The stories below represent the subset of my football articles that are related to weird NFL scores, a phenomenon that gained attention in 2015 when the NFL moved the extra point back by 13 yards, causing a 9x increase in the frequency of missed attempts. (Though for reasons described in "Why 2015's NFL Scores Are the Weirdest in History," missed extra points are not the only reason for historically weird scores.)

This phenomenon has largely continued over the last four NFL seasons. Beyond analyzing the changing the face of NFL scores (those familiar multiples of seven and three that we learn in pickup games), I've also explored how "weird scores" have impacted Super Bowl Squares probabilities, and whether "weird scores" have in any way affected common NFL margins of victory, which could have betting implications.

Weird NFL scores not your thing? Please visit my Football page or home page to explore other topics.
WEIRD NFL SCORES
HIGHLIGHTED BY FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS
Why 2015's NFL Scores Are the Weirdest in History
​NOV 23 2015
HIGHLIGHTED BY FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS
​Weird Score Redux: What's to Blame, Game by Game?
​​
DEC 8 2015
ALSO APPEARED ON THE CAULDRON
Not Your Granddaddy's Super Bowl Boxes
How 2015's Weird Scores Change the Odds
​JAN 15 2016
SUPER BOWL SQUARES
2019 Super Bowl Squares Odds
How historically weird scores and Patriots-Rams win probabilities impact your chances
JAN 24 2019
2018 Super Bowl Squares Odds
How historically weird scores and Patriots-Eagles win probabilities impact your chances
JAN 24 2018
HIGHLIGHTED BY FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS
2017 Super Bowl Squares Odds
How historically weird scores and Patriots-Falcons win probabilities impact your chances
JAN 24 2017
QUOTED ON FIVETHIRTYEIGHT
​2016 Super Bowl Squares Odds
How historically weird scores and Panthers-Broncos win probabilities impact your chances
JAN 30 2016
NFL TRENDS
FOR FIVETHIRTYEIGHT
Wow, Week 1 of the NFL Was Terrible
SEP 12 2017
Margins of Victory through NFL History
Despite weird scores, 2015 had the most normal margins of victory in history
FEB 23 2016
A Complete History of NFL Points, Scores, and Scoring
(Super Bowl Box Redux: The Trends and Scores Behind the Story)
JAN 27 2016
NFL Points & Scoring in Four Charts
Lots of passing, lots of kicking, lots of points
​JAN 31 2017
NFL Margins of Victory in Four Charts
Games are close, scores are weird, common margins still reign
​JAN 31 2017
NFL Rushing & Passing in Four Charts
Teams have never passed more and run less
​JAN 31 2017
VEGAS
QUOTED ON ESPN CHALK
Why Did Vegas Books Struggle for Part of the NFL Season?
MAR 7 2017
FOR LINEUPS.COM
The Oddity and Accuracy of Week 1's NFL Betting Lines
​SEP 8 2017
ALSO APPEARED ON THE CAULDRON
Week 8's NFL Betting Lines Are the Lowest in at Least a Decade
​OCT 27 2016

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